Geopolitical Earthquake 2026: Inside Operation 'Roaring Lion' and the Total Shift in Middle East Power Dynamics

Business Al-Ikhtiari Exclusive

The Great Middle East Earthquake: Operation "Roaring Lion" and the Strategic Paradigm Shift

Published: February 28, 2026 | By Strategic Intelligence Unit

1. Tactical Overview: The Strike in the Heart of Iran

In the early hours of Saturday, February 28, 2026, a massive joint military operation led by the US and Israel targeted over 100 strategic sites across Iran. Codenamed "Roaring Lion", the strikes utilized F-35 stealth fighters and Tomahawk missiles.

• Primary Targets: IRGC command centers in Tehran, ballistic missile silos in Isfahan, and nuclear research facilities in Karaj.
• Iran's Response: Tehran initiated "True Promise 4", launching a multi-directional drone and missile barrage toward Israeli airspace and US bases in the Gulf.

Verified Sources: Pentagon Briefing, Reuters Geo-Intelligence, Sky News Arabia.

2. Energy Markets: The $100 Barrel Threat

The global economy is bracing for a supply shock. With the Strait of Hormuz under direct threat, energy analysts at Business Al-Ikhtiari predict a volatile week ahead.

Oil Price Scenarios:

• Containment Scenario: $85 - $90/barrel if shipping remains safe.
• Blockade Scenario: Potential surge to $150/barrel if the Strait is closed.

Data Insights: Bloomberg Energy Terminal, ICIS Gas Market Report.

3. Arab Markets Outlook: "Black Sunday" Predictions

Stock markets in the region (Tadawul, EGX, DFM) are expected to face high volatility during tomorrow's opening session.

Market	Opening Sentiment	Key Stocks to Watch
Saudi (TASI)	Bearish (-1.5%)	Aramco, Al Rajhi Bank
Egypt (EGX30)	High Volatility (-3%)	CIB, EFG Hermes
UAE Markets	Mixed/Uncertain	Emaar, DP World

Strategic Conclusion

The transition from "Shadow War" to "Direct Confrontation" marks a new era for 2026. Investors are advised to seek safe havens in Gold and Energy Futures. The geopolitical risk premium is back, and it's higher than ever.

© 2026 Business Al-Ikhtiari Blog. All Rights Reserved. Strategic Intelligence Division.

🔴 LIVE UPDATE: February 28, 2026 - 21:00 GMT

Military sources report a high-level cyber-attack targeting regional energy grids. Global insurance firms have raised maritime risk premiums by 20% in the Gulf.
Stay tuned to Business Al-Ikhtiari for the next strategic briefing.